Using an Intel Core i5 CPU, how long does it take to crack RSA using a key size of 1024 bit (generated using a secure key pair generation function)?

Suppose for instance that we have thousands of zombies or a big network of computers. To calculate all the combinations or possibilities, can we distribute the process through a big network of computers?

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    $\begingroup$ I think the standard estimate is $2^{40}$ work for 512-bit moduli and $2^{80}$ work for 1024-bit. A very optimistic guesstimate would probably be "1 day" for the 512-bit modulus, so $2^{40}$ (1 trillion) days for 1024-bit moduli. Of course I didn't use actual performance numbers (so no proper answer). $\endgroup$ – SEJPM May 26 '19 at 14:56
  • $\begingroup$ Would you please tell me where or by which formula did you get 2^{80}? $\endgroup$ – R1w May 26 '19 at 19:26
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    $\begingroup$ it's basically rounded from crypto.stackexchange.com/a/8692/24949 $\endgroup$ – Z.T. May 26 '19 at 19:38
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    $\begingroup$ What CPU family? What clock speed? How much RAM? $\endgroup$ – forest May 26 '19 at 23:20
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    $\begingroup$ @R1w Sure, but precise hardware information is necessary to make accurate estimates. However you should assume that RSA 1024 can be broken with sufficient computing power (whether a huge number of consumer PCs or a specialized ASIC). $\endgroup$ – forest May 27 '19 at 8:15

RSA-768 took 2000 years of 2.2Ghz single-core Opteron from the year 2009.

DJB et al wrote in 2013 (see page 30) (see also: 29C3: FactHacks (EN); slide 87/112; about 10 minutes) that RSA-1024 would take $2^{70}$ differences with $2^{24}$ per machine per second in 2009, so 2 million years. Hardware improved since then, and GNFS can use GPUs, so maybe better, but about a million years I guess.

Absolutely the computation can be parallelized to use many devices, for example to use a botnet, which is what DJB recommends. Whether one can have a botnet with a million devices with strong CPU/GPU that uses up a lot of power and not get noticed for a year, is another matter entirely.

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  • $\begingroup$ So it makes Decryption-As-Service possible either for a legal issue or illegal. $\endgroup$ – R1w May 26 '19 at 16:00
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    $\begingroup$ Yes, Nadia Heninger (co-author of that presentation I linked, cseweb.ucsd.edu/~nadiah) tried to run such a service on the public cloud. AFAIK this service doesn't exist, but anyone can create it using open source software (cado-nfs.gforge.inria.fr) and specialists can optimize the software for new hardware or to best use cloud spot instances, etc. $\endgroup$ – Z.T. May 26 '19 at 16:04

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